{"id":5488,"date":"2020-10-26T16:42:00","date_gmt":"2020-10-26T16:42:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/rdo-olr.org\/?p=5488"},"modified":"2025-03-11T22:03:32","modified_gmt":"2025-03-11T22:03:32","slug":"why-its-unlikely-that-a-ruth-bader-ginsburg-amy-coney-barrett-scenario-will-happen-in-canada","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/rdo-olr.org\/fr\/why-its-unlikely-that-a-ruth-bader-ginsburg-amy-coney-barrett-scenario-will-happen-in-canada\/","title":{"rendered":"Why it\u2019s Unlikely that a Ruth Bader Ginsburg \u2013 Amy Coney Barrett Scenario Will Happen in Canada"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>&lsquo;By Michael J. Piaseczny and Giovanni C. Giuga&rsquo;<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap\">Seymour Lipset\u2019s foundational comparative account of Canada and the United States (US) sought to understand the differences between two countries that seem similar when compared to other countries.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn1\" name=\"_ednref1\">[1]<\/a> The political situation currently unfolding south of us regarding a judicial nomination actually provides a topical example showing how our two countries seem similar yet are so different\u2014in line with Lipset\u2019s past observations.<\/p>\n<p>The US is currently in an election period, and President Donald Trump has nominated federal appeals court judge <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/elections\/2020\/09\/26\/supreme-court-trump-biden-live-updates\/\">Amy Coney Barrett<\/a> to fill the late Ruth Bader Ginsburg\u2019s seat, thereby triggering immense political backlash.<\/p>\n<p>The similarity here between our two countries is that in both countries the federal head of government controls the Supreme Court judicial appointment process. But the difference is in how the federal head of government is constrained (or not) in wielding this power. This leads to the question: could a future prime minister of Canada with overt populist and ideological (or Trump-esque) convictions appoint a Supreme Court justice during an election (writ) period?<\/p>\n<p>In short, the answer is yes, but detailed below are two reasons why we think this is highly unlikely: (1) our prime ministers strictly adhere to the \u201ccaretaker convention\u201d; and (2) Canada\u2019s recent changes to the judicial appointment process.<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>The US Supreme Court Nomination and Confirmation Process<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>The US is not just built around the Constitution; much of its functioning revolves around political norms and unwritten constitutional conventions.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn2\" name=\"_ednref2\">[2]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>But in terms of the judicial appointment process in the US, there appears to be no explicit constitutional convention, similar to Canada\u2019s caretaker convention, that prevents or limits a president from nominating or appointing a Supreme Court justice during the formal election period.<\/p>\n<p>Despite there not being a formal constitutional convention in this regard, now-President Trump and Republican senators argued that then-President Barack Obama\u2019s nomination of Justice Merrick Garland was inappropriate in 2016 because the electorate was soon going to the polls.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn3\" name=\"_ednref3\">[3]<\/a> At this time, the Republican party, in theory, seemingly wanted to create a constitutional convention that a sitting president ought not to nominate a Supreme Court justice close to or during an election period. However, a constitutional convention has failed to form within the American process, as evidenced by the Democratic party\u2019s nomination of Justice Garland, and the Republican party\u2019s reversal of their position from 2016 by now nominating Judge Barrett.<\/p>\n<ol start=\"2\">\n<li><strong>The US Supreme Court Nomination and Confirmation Process Steps<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Without any explicit constitutional convention operating during this process, the president\u2019s constitutional power to nominate a Supreme Court justice is nearly unfettered.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn4\" name=\"_ednref4\">[4]<\/a> Therefore, the president has both political and legal authority to nominate a Supreme Court justice during an election period. The three-step appointment process is summarized as follows:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The president nominates a candidate,<\/li>\n<li>The Senate is tasked with confirming the candidate, and<\/li>\n<li>The president officially appoints the candidate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This process often encounters challenges at the second step, but a 2017 rule change allows a Supreme Court justice (candidate) to be confirmed with 51 votes instead of 60. This rule change effectively makes filibustering\u2014a tactic often used to delay the nomination process\u2014useless because only a mere 51 votes are now required to close the debate.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn5\" name=\"_ednref5\">[5]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Also, in the second step, the president\u2019s judicial choice is referred to the Senate Judiciary Committee, which investigates the nominee and offers a recommendation to the full Senate as either \u201cfavorable, negative, or no recommendation.\u201d<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn6\" name=\"_ednref6\">[6]<\/a> With simple majority rule, the Senate will convey the confirmation vote to the president who will then sign a commission appointing the individual to the Supreme Court.<\/p>\n<ol start=\"3\">\n<li><strong> Canada\u2019s Caretaker Convention and Judicial Appointment Process <\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>3.1 Canada\u2019s Caretaker Convention Restrains Executive Decision-Making During the Writ Period<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In Canada, there is a so-called \u201ccaretaker convention\u201d that seeks to guide ministers and the public service in exercising their authority,<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn7\" name=\"_ednref7\">[7]<\/a> and this is triggered once a general election is called upon Parliament\u2019s dissolution.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn8\" name=\"_ednref8\">[8]<\/a> The Privy Council Office (\u201cPCO\u201d) provides guidelines that ministers should follow to comply with the convention during an election regarding government activity \u201cin matters of policy, expenditure and appointments.\u201d <a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn9\" name=\"_ednref9\">[9]<\/a> These activities \u201cshould be restricted to matters that are: (a) routine, or (b) non-controversial, or (c) urgent and in the public interest, or (d) reversible by a new government without undue cost or disruption, or (e) agreed to by opposition parties (in those cases where consultation is appropriate).\u201d<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn10\" name=\"_ednref10\">[10]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The PCO\u2019s use of the word \u201cshould\u201d in the guidelines merely implies that a caretaker convention guides a ministry\u2019s behaviour but is not legally enforceable.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn11\" name=\"_ednref11\">[11]<\/a> In other words, the power of the convention only rests in the political arena, but the concrete guidelines do showcase a historically entrenched political philosophy that restrains behaviour.<\/p>\n<p><strong>3.2 Canada\u2019s Recent Judicial Appointment Reform Process Limits (to Some Extent) the Prime Minister\u2019s Discretion<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In 2016, the Supreme Court justice appointment process was altered by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau when the federal Liberal party created the<em> Advisory Board for Supreme Court Appointments<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>This Board is an independent and non-partisan nominating committee with a mandate to seek out qualified candidates and provide three to five non-binding, merit-based recommendations of functionally bilingual candidates to the prime minister.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn12\" name=\"_ednref12\">[12]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>An open position on the Court is advertised to allow interested lawyers and judges to apply; the Board also seeks out potential candidates.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn13\" name=\"_ednref13\">[13]<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/pm.gc.ca\/en\/news\/news-releases\/2019\/08\/07\/prime-minister-announces-appointment-honourable-nicholas-kasirer\">Recent Supreme Court justices<\/a> have been appointed using this process. Future prime ministers are not obligated to follow this new \u201carms-length\u201d process, but it serves as \u201ca better way than anything we have had before or than has been proposed in the past.\u201d<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn14\" name=\"_ednref14\">[14]<\/a><\/p>\n<ol start=\"4\">\n<li><strong>Canada\u2019s Caretaker Convention and New Judicial Appointment Process Create a Tough Structural Barrier for Future \u201cRogue\u201d Prime Ministers to Stray From<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Future Canadian prime ministers are unlikely to violate the caretaker convention by appointing a Supreme Court justice. Before 1960, Canada only had three cases where a Supreme Court appointment occurred in between Parliament\u2019s dissolution and the following election.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn15\" name=\"_ednref15\">[15]<\/a> Recently, Prime Minister Stephen Harper created controversy when announcing Justice Russell Brown\u2019s appointment in the pre-writ period that came into effect during the writ period.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn16\" name=\"_ednref16\">[16]<\/a>This Harper-Brown controversy suggests even recent prime ministers fear the political repercussions of announcing and appointing a Supreme Court justice during the writ period. An appointment during the writ period offers opposition parties the opportunity to treat such an appointment as a campaign issue, thereby increasing the partisan perception of the Court that the caretaker convention aims to remove.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn17\" name=\"_ednref17\">[17]<\/a> Canada\u2019s constitutional conventions are enforceable solely by political actors, and thus a Canadian Trump-equivalent may still make a partisan and political choice to circumvent the convention. It is notable, however, that the courts will acknowledge the existence of a convention and whether it has been breached.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn18\" name=\"_ednref18\">[18]<\/a> Even a Canadian Trump-equivalent prime minister would be unlikely to ignore the caretaker convention without significant political consequences.<\/p>\n<p>The current Canadian appointment process identifies a short list of the best candidates that fit the criteria and therefore limits the prime minister\u2019s potential scope for appointment. The president\u2019s candidate selection criteria, on the other hand, often includes (1) \u201cqualifications of the potential nominee,\u201d (2) ideological considerations concerning \u201cthe political and ideological belief of the candidate,\u201d (3) patronage, and (4) \u201cpolitical support from a societal group.\u201d<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn19\" name=\"_ednref19\">[19]<\/a>Michael Plaxton notes that the second and third factors are no longer considered in Canada\u2019s appointment process.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn20\" name=\"_ednref20\">[20]<\/a>Moreover, the current appointment process addresses the first and last factors through a non-partisan, transparent, and inclusive <a href=\"https:\/\/pm.gc.ca\/en\/news\/backgrounders\/2016\/08\/02\/new-process-judicial-appointments-supreme-court-canada\">process<\/a> that is accountable to Canadians.<\/p>\n<p>A future prime minister would also likely be unable to nominate a Supreme Court justice during the writ period because of the current appointment process. The current appointment process takes much longer than a writ period\u2014a Canadian federal election being at least a minimum of 36 days long and maximum of 50 days \u201cafter the day on which the writ was issued\u201d in accordance with <a href=\"https:\/\/laws.justice.gc.ca\/eng\/acts\/e-2.01\/page-9.html#h-204235\">paragraph 57(1.2)(c)<\/a> of the <em>Canada Elections Act<\/em>. Justice Malcolm Rowe\u2019s appointment process, for example, took over 60 days.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_edn21\" name=\"_ednref21\">[21]<\/a><\/p>\n<p>In sum, Canada\u2019s recent and historic constitutional advancements strengthen its democracy through progressively building and insulating its institutions; whereby, procedural safeguards, both written and unwritten, merge together to fill in structural gaps.<\/p>\n<p>&#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211;<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><i>The opinions expressed in this text belong to the authors and do not reflect those of their positions nor of their affiliated institutions<\/i>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><em><strong>About the Authors:<\/strong> Michael and Giovanni are 2L students at the University of Ottawa Faculty of Law, where they also serve as Associate Editors of the Ottawa Law Review. Michael and Giovanni previously attended Wilfrid Laurier University, where they both completed a Bachelor of Arts in Political Science, and where Michael completed a Master of Applied Politics. Michael subsequently obtained a Master of Political Management from Carleton University, while Giovanni completed a Master of Arts in Political Science at McGill University.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Note: To avoid potential conflicts, all student blog posts are anonymized during the screening, editing, and review processes; Michael and Giovanni were not involved in their capacity as OLR Associate Editors.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211; &#8211;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref1\" name=\"_edn1\">[1]<\/a> Seymour Martin Lipset, <em>Continental Divide: The Value and Institutions of the United States and Canada <\/em>(New York: Routledge, 1990) (\u201c[t]he United States and Canada remain two nations formed around sharply different organizing principles. Their basic myths vary considerably, and national ethoses and structures are determined in large part by such images\u201d at 225).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref2\" name=\"_edn2\">[2]<\/a> Neil S Siegel, \u201cPolitical Norms, Constitutional Conventions, and President Donald Trump\u201d (2018) 93:1 Ind LJ 177 at 183 and 186.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref3\" name=\"_edn3\">[3]<\/a> Robin Bradley Kar &amp; Jason Mazzone, \u201cThe Garland Affair: What History and the Constitution Really Say About President Obama\u2019s Powers to Appoint a Replacement for Justice Scalia\u201d (2016) 91 NYUL Rev Online 53 at 58.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref4\" name=\"_edn4\">[4]<\/a> US Const art II, \u00a7 2 (the president \u201cshall nominate, and by and with the advice and consent of the Senate, shall appoint \u2026 judges of the Supreme Court\u201d).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref5\" name=\"_edn5\">[5]<\/a> Caren Morrison, \u201cCan Trump and McConnel get Through the 4 Steps to Seat a Supreme Court Justice in just 6 Weeks?\u201d, <em>The Conversation <\/em>(19 September 2020), online: &lt;theconversation.com\/can-trump-and-mcconnell-get-through-the-4-steps-to-seat-a-supreme-court-justice-in-just-6-weeks-146544&gt;.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref6\" name=\"_edn6\">[6]<\/a> <em>Ibid<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref7\" name=\"_edn7\">[7]<\/a> Michael Plaxton, \u201cThe Caretaker Convention and Supreme Court Appointments\u201d (2016) 72 SCLR (2d) 455 at 466.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref8\" name=\"_edn8\">[8]<\/a> See Philippe Lagass\u00e9, \u201cWhat is the Caretaker Convention? When Does a Period of Caretaker Government Begin? When Does it End?\u201d (9 October 2015), online: <em>Policy Options <\/em>&lt;policyoptions.irpp.org\/2015\/10\/09\/clarifying-the-caretaker-convention\/&gt;.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref9\" name=\"_edn9\">[9]<\/a> Privy Council Office, \u201cGuidelines on the conduct of Ministers, Ministers of State, Exempt Staff and Public Servants During an Election\u201d (last modified 11 September 2019) online: <em>Government of Canada <\/em>&lt;www.canada.ca\/en\/privy-council\/services\/publications\/guidelines-conduct-ministers-state-exempt-staff-public-servants-election.html&gt;.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref10\" name=\"_edn10\">[10]<\/a> <em>Ibid<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref11\" name=\"_edn11\">[11]<\/a> Lagass\u00e9, <em>supra <\/em>note 8.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref12\" name=\"_edn12\">[12]<\/a> Adam Dodek &amp; Rosemary Cairns Way, \u201cThe Supreme Court of Canada and Appointment of Judges in Canada\u201d in Peter Oliver, Patrick Macklem &amp; Nathalie Des Rosiers, eds, <em>The Oxford Handbook of the Canadian Constitution <\/em>(New York: Oxford University Press, 2017) 212 at 220\u201321.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref13\" name=\"_edn13\">[13]<\/a> <em>Ibid<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref14\" name=\"_edn14\">[14]<\/a> Peter Russell, \u201cSelecting Supreme Court Justices: Is Trudeau\u2019s Sunny Way a Better Way?\u201d (2017) 68 UNBLJ 3 at 17.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref15\" name=\"_edn15\">[15]<\/a> Plaxton, <em>supra <\/em>note 7 at 476.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref16\" name=\"_edn16\">[16]<\/a> <em>Ibid <\/em>at 480.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref17\" name=\"_edn17\">[17]<\/a> <em>Ibid <\/em>at 481.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref18\" name=\"_edn18\">[18]<\/a> <em>Re: Resolution to Amend the Constitution<\/em>, [1981] 1 SCR 753 at 854, 125 DLR (3d) 1.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref19\" name=\"_edn19\">[19]<\/a> See Eszter Bodnar, \u201cThe Selection of Supreme Court Judges: What Can the World Learn from Canada, What Can Canada Learn from the World\u201d (2017) 2017:2 ELTE LJ 103 at 122.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref20\" name=\"_edn20\">[20]<\/a> Plaxton, <em>supra <\/em>note 7 at 474\u201375.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/F52B9CDE-B6CE-4DBA-8401-C8A2E1285A4C#_ednref21\" name=\"_edn21\">[21]<\/a> Dodek &amp; Cairns Way, <em>supra <\/em>note 12 at 220.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div 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